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 瑞銀分析:香港房價2017年將跌3成
來源: 中央社 – 2015年9月29日 下午7:02  
 
 
(中央社台北29日電)飆了7年的香港房價,受到香港經濟成長放緩等因素影響,可能迎來一波調整。瑞士銀行預期,香港房價在2017年底最多恐將下跌3成,且會經歷一段長時間的調整。
路透報導,香港住宅房價自2009年起連年上升,累積漲幅近兩倍,然而受到預期經濟成長放緩、香港失業率上升等因素,投資銀行瑞銀預期,香港住宅房價到2017年底將下跌25%至30%。
瑞銀中國香港地產研究部主管李智穎今天在電話會議表示,預計由現在至2017年底,樓價會掉頭向下,跌25%至30%,並會經歷較長時間的調整。她說,這次調整主要由經濟因素牽引,而升息只是其中一項因素。
李智穎強調,「我們覺得香港國內生產毛額(GDP)會下滑,失業率會向上走,通貨膨脹會愈來愈低,但未到通縮的階段」。
瑞銀稍早的報告則預測,香港2015年GDP成長將自上半年的2.6%放緩至下半年的1.5%,明年更只有1%的成長,為2009年以來最低。
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